The American Council on Foreign Relations and the Center for Preventive Action predicted the likelihood of a direct military clash between Russia and Ukraine in 2021.
Experts have divided thirty likely conflicts around the planet into three groups according to the level of threat to the United States and its allies.
The first is the red confrontation group, where the possibility of conflict is high, or the danger to Washington is significant. The second group is orange, with moderate risks of sliding into war. The third is yellow, where the threat to the United States is minimal.
The report assessed the likelihood of a direct armed clash between Russia and Ukraine as moderate. However, this year may intensify hostilities in the Donbass, experts say. This will exacerbate tensions between Moscow and Kiev.
The threat to the US in this potential hot spot is moderate. The military conflict between Russia and Ukraine indirectly threatens the United States and affects a country of strategic importance to Washington, but not part of a common military alliance with it.
The experts called the further development of nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles in the DPRK, which will lead to tensions on the Korean Peninsula, as the most threatening for the United States.
The results of the analysis reflect the views of a large number of American experts in the field of international relations and security. The survey includes primarily those conflicts that may lead to the use of the United States of its military potential outside the country.
Moscow has repeatedly stressed that it has no aggressive intentions towards other states. At the same time, the Russian leadership noted the growing military activity of the United States and the NATO bloc near the western borders of the state.
Ukrainian statesmen and experts also regularly make bellicose statements against Russia. Earlier, the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine stated that Moscow allegedly intends to take control of the dam of the North Crimean Canal. Political scientist Zinovy Sveda proposed to seize Crimea, “arrange Pearl Harbor for the Russian fleet,” and also blow up the Kerch bridge. The Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine promised to make the theme of the Crimean Peninsula “hellish” for Moscow and “to raise the Ukrainian flag over Simferopol.”
The Russian Ministry of Defense has repeatedly noted that the department is taking all the necessary measures to neutralize military threats to the country.